Published September 25, 2026 in Market Update

Buyers have a bit more room to negotiate in Primary market

By Shari Holder
Real estate, Primary market

The one fact that changes what you should do: homes in the Primary market are selling below list price more often. Price carefully from the start, and you will be ahead of the ones that sit.

Average sale price as a share of list price, three months ending July 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted homes in ZIP 85142 selling at 98.1% of list price on average. That is down 0.4 points from the same period in 2025. So what? A seller who prices at $660,000 is, on average, leaving a little room for the buyer to negotiate terms.

Share of homes that sold above list price, three months ending July 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that only 7.4% of homes in 85142 sold above list price. That is down 3.1 points from a year ago. Fewer bidding wars means buyers have more room to ask for concessions or repairs.

That fits what is happening nationally. Redfin reported that sellers gave concessions in 44.7% of U.S. home sales in August. Redfin also found that roughly 15% of buyers got both a price cut and a seller concession at the same time.

What the rest of the numbers say

Primary market, three months ending July 31, 2026
Median sale price
Unchanged from a year ago
Homes sold
Down 7.6% from a year ago
Median days on market
3 days longer than a year ago
Months of supply
Down 0.4 months from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows the median sale price in 85142 held at $660,000. That is unchanged from the same three months in 2025. Prices did not fall. They just stopped climbing.

Homes took a median of 69 days to sell, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That is 3 days longer than a year ago. Not every home sold slowly. Some moved fast. But the middle of the market is taking longer.

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 351 homes sold in the three months ending July 31, 2026. That is down 7.6% from the same period in 2025. Fewer sales, but prices held. That is a mixed signal worth watching.

The national picture adds context

Redfin reported that August was the strongest buyer's market on record in the U.S., with more sellers than buyers. That national pressure is part of why local sellers are giving a little more ground on terms.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported that U.S. house prices rose 2.1% year over year between the second quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026. Prices are still moving up, just more slowly.

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 7.03% as of September 24, 2026. Realtor.com reported 6.95% for the week ending September 19, 2026. Rates near 7% are still shaping what buyers can afford.

How the sale-to-list ratio shifted year over year
Three months endingJuly 31, 202698.1%Same period,2025 (implied)98.5%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, ZIP 85142. The 2025 figure is derived from the reported 0.4-point drop.
Homes sold above list vs. all others, three months ending July 31, 2026
Sold above list
Sold at or below list
Real Estate Data Aggregator, ZIP 85142.

These numbers cover the three months ending July 31, 2026. Read them that way, not as today's snapshot.

In short
  1. Prices held steady in the Primary market.
  2. But homes are taking longer to sell, fewer are going above list, and sellers nationally are giving more concessions.
  3. Price carefully and leave room for the conversation.

One more thing: a single street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code. The numbers above cover all of 85142. Your block may be faster or slower, higher or lower.

Your next step

(602) 753-6664

Text me your address and I will send back where your Primary market home sits against the 98.1% sale-to-list ratio and what actually sold near you. Takes a day, costs nothing.

Text me
Where these numbers came from
Shari Holder
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Shari Holder is a licensed real estate agent, license #SA703202000. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Shari HolderEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY